Kerry wins both the popular vote, 51-48, and the electoral college, 311-227 (NH, FL, and OH go to Kerry, others same as 2000).
As for the (competitive) Washington statewides, Chris Gregoire (53-47), Rob McKenna, Sam Reed, Doug Sutherland, Judy Billings. For Congress, Dave Reichert, Don Barbieri (both very close). Initiatives 297, 872, and 884 pass; 892, R-55 fail, as does the Monorail recall. Dems make gains in both houses of the state legislature -- Brian Weinstein, Laurie Dolan, Larry Springer, Pat Sullivan, and Derek Kilmer win, among others.
And a few Senate picks from around the country: Castor, Salazar, Knowles, Coburn, DeMint, Thune, Bunning. Republicans maintain control of both houses of Congress, but with a narrower margin in the House.
I have a terrible track record with these things, though, so watch as I'm proven wildly wrong. The only calls I really have a well-thought rationale for are the presidential race and the WA state legislature - the former based on my wishful interpretation of polling data (relative to past performance), the latter based mostly on direct observation.
Posted by Michael at November 2, 2004 02:05 AM | TrackBack